Warehouse fresh · 2026-10-30 14:15 UTC
Model R̂ max 1.010
ESS min 1656
Divergences 0
Trained 2026-10-30 14:39 UTC

2026 Regular Season — final projection

Saved exactly as it stood when the regular season ended on 27 September 2026: the final records, and the model's last division and playoff odds before the postseason began. The ratings behind it are on the saved Team Strength page, and the live postseason is on Playoff Predictions.

ALAmerican League

Projected final standings · 2026 regular season

AL West

Team Record Proj W 80% CI Division Winner Playoffs
HOU Houston Astros 81-81 81 81–81
100.0%
100.0%
TEX Texas Rangers 80-82 80 80–80
0.0%
0.0%
SEA Seattle Mariners 76-86 76 76–76
0.0%
0.0%
ATH Athletics 64-98 64 64–64
0.0%
0.0%
LAA Los Angeles Angels 62-100 62 62–62
0.0%
0.0%

AL East

Team Record Proj W 80% CI Division Winner Playoffs
TB Tampa Bay Rays 98-64 98 98–98
100.0%
100.0%
NYY New York Yankees 93-68 94 93–94
0.0%
100.0%
BOS Boston Red Sox 87-75 87 87–87
0.0%
100.0%
BAL Baltimore Orioles 79-81 80 79–81
0.0%
0.0%
TOR Toronto Blue Jays 79-83 79 79–79
0.0%
0.0%

AL Central

Team Record Proj W 80% CI Division Winner Playoffs
CLE Cleveland Guardians 85-77 85 85–85
100.0%
100.0%
CWS Chicago White Sox 84-78 84 84–84
0.0%
100.0%
MIN Minnesota Twins 77-85 77 77–77
0.0%
0.0%
DET Detroit Tigers 75-86 75 75–76
0.0%
0.0%
KC Kansas City Royals 69-93 69 69–69
0.0%
0.0%

NLNational League

Projected final standings · 2026 regular season

NL West

Team Record Proj W 80% CI Division Winner Playoffs
LAD Los Angeles Dodgers 100-62 100 100–100
100.0%
100.0%
SD San Diego Padres 91-71 91 91–91
0.0%
100.0%
AZ Arizona Diamondbacks 86-76 86 86–86
0.0%
0.0%
SF San Francisco Giants 65-97 65 65–65
0.0%
0.0%
COL Colorado Rockies 58-104 58 58–58
0.0%
0.0%

NL East

Team Record Proj W 80% CI Division Winner Playoffs
ATL Atlanta Braves 94-68 94 94–94
100.0%
100.0%
PHI Philadelphia Phillies 87-74 88 87–88
0.0%
100.0%
MIA Miami Marlins 80-82 80 80–80
0.0%
0.0%
WSH Washington Nationals 77-85 77 77–77
0.0%
0.0%
NYM New York Mets 74-88 74 74–74
0.0%
0.0%

NL Central

Team Record Proj W 80% CI Division Winner Playoffs
MIL Milwaukee Brewers 103-59 103 103–103
100.0%
100.0%
CHC Chicago Cubs 89-73 89 89–89
0.0%
100.0%
PIT Pittsburgh Pirates 82-80 82 82–82
0.0%
0.0%
STL St. Louis Cardinals 77-84 78 77–78
0.0%
0.0%
CIN Cincinnati Reds 75-87 75 75–75
0.0%
0.0%